文章ID:7555

断背山

最强可达超强台风级!“沙德尔”会登陆我国吗?最新研判→_我的网站

哈尔的移动城堡

A |     目前,多个热带系统正在活跃,南海热带低压和台湾东侧热带扰动将给我国沿海带来持续性降雨,同时远海台风“沙德尔”最强可达超强台风级别,也存在影响我国的可能。    

    
    

Staff members secure aircraft at Hangzhou Xiaoshan International Airport to prepare for Typhoon Dolphin on August 9, 2026. Photo: VCG
    Staff members secure aircraft at Hangzhou Xiaoshan International Airport to prepare for Typhoon Dolphin on August 9, 2026. Photo: VCG
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in Taizhou, East China's Zhejiang Province, on Sunday afternoon, bringing strong winds up to 42 meters per second and heavy torrential rain to the coastal regions amid a red alert - the highest level in the country's typhoon warning system - issued for it earlier that day. 
Authorities in East China's Fujian have relocated nearly 100,000 residents, while coastal provinces are suspending railway services and canceled flights, making an all-out effort to mitigate possible risks.
The NMC maintained orange rainstorm and blue severe convective weather alerts at 6 am on Sunday, forecasting exceptionally heavy rainfall of 250 to 440 millimeters in some areas along the eastern coast of Zhejiang, with heavy to torrential rains expected across Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Anhui between Sunday morning and Monday morning, China Central Television (CCTV) reported. 
In response to the typhoon, China's meteorological authority on Sunday upgraded its emergency response for severe meteorological disasters from Level III to Level II.
Fujian raised the emergency response level for typhoon prevention to Level II at 9 am on Sunday.
As Typhoon Dolphin gathers strength and approaches the coastal areas, Fujian's flood control authority, as of 6 pm on Saturday, deployed a total of 17,800 officials to and relocated 98,900 people from high-risk areas, Xinhua News Agency reported on Saturday.
Fujian has suspended all 115 marine engineering projects and moved 290 construction vessels to safe waters, while 55 passenger ferry routes in affected waters have been halted, chinanews.com reported. 
Meanwhile, railway services in the affected regions including Fujian, Zhejiang, Shanghai have also been suspended from Sunday to Monday, according to chinanews.com.
Fujian authorities have urged stronger safety measures for returning vessels, offshore platforms and coastal and island tourism, as well as reinforcement of aquaculture facilities. They also called for timely evacuations from flood- and landslide-prone areas to guard against secondary disasters from the typhoon and heavy rain, chinanews.com reported. 
In Zhejiang, Wenzhou city has closed all 85 A-level national tourist attractions, turned away more than 7,400 visitors and evacuated over 1,600, with the relocation effort ongoing, according to CCTV. Next, Wenzhou will next implement a "five suspensions" policy, halting outdoor group activities, classes, work, business operations and transportation.
All fishing vessels at Shitang Fishing Port in Wenling, Zhejiang, have returned to port, with all personnel evacuated ashore and maritime rescue teams on standby. Authorities urged vessels to stay off the sea during the typhoon. 
In Shanghai, Pudong and Hongqiao airports operated at reduced capacity on Sunday, with nearly 60 percent of flights canceled. A total of 1,384 flights are scheduled to be canceled including 871 at Pudong and 513 at Hongqiao. Passengers are advised to check with their airlines for the latest updates and adjust travel plans accordingly, according to CCTV.
According to Hu Xiao, meteorological analyst at the NMC, the typhoon has several notable features, including its strong intensity and expansive circulation. The typhoon also has several unusual features. Forming unusually far east, near 180°E, it has traveled more than 7,200 kilometers, making its potential landfall in China a rare event and possibly the easternmost such landfall since 1951. Its 12-day lifespan is also well above the typical seven-to-10-day average, CCTV reported. 
According to Ma Jun, director of the Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs, Typhoon Dolphin traveled a long distance and remained at typhoon or severe typhoon strength of its lifespan so far. Despite passing through some areas that were unfavorable to its development, its powerful inner core remained intact, while its extensive cloud system continued to absorb moisture and energy, fueling the potential for torrential rainfall.
The typhoon has remained at sea for more than 260 hours and experienced a rare "three rises and three falls" in intensity. Its unusually long lifespan has allowed it to absorb more moisture and energy, while repeated intensity fluctuations have complicated forecasts of its future track and intensity of wind and rainfall, according to CCTV. 
After landfall, Typhoon Dolphin may move slowly, prolonging heavy rainfall and raising the risk of extreme precipitation and related disasters. Its track later in the week remains uncertain as it could interact with the southwest monsoon and cold air from the northwest, potentially broadening and intensifying its impacts, Ma told the Global Times on Sunday.

。           华东、华南将迎强降雨            8月21日至23日,华东到华南沿海会是我国强降雨最多的区域,海南岛、广西、广东、福建、浙江、台湾岛等地部分地区有暴雨或大暴雨,海南局地累计降雨量可达300至400毫米。           台风“沙德尔”最强可达超强台风级                           存在登陆我国可能            台风“沙德尔”自19日生成后一直保持热带风暴级别,今天(21日)后强度将不断升级,最强可达超强台风级。           8月26日以后,它的移动路径存在两种可能性,一种是西行登陆我国华东沿海;另一种是折向偏北方向移动,奔向日韩。预计要到下周,台风“沙德尔”的走势才会明朗,请保持密切关注。

B |            关注预警预报 及时防范避险            水利部和中国气象局8月20日18时联合发布黄色山洪灾害气象预警:预计8月20日20时至21日20时,海南西部、新疆北部等地部分地区发生山洪灾害可能性较大(黄色预警)。           中央气象台8月21日10时继续发布暴雨蓝色预警:预计8月21日14时至22日14时,海南岛西部、广西南部、台湾岛南部、山东半岛南部等地部分地区有大暴雨(100~200毫米)。           受热带低压影响            海南落实各项防御举措            中央气象台8月21日10时继续发布热带低压预报:北部湾热带低压的中心今天(21日)上午8点钟位于距离海南省东方市北方向约150公里的北部湾海面上,预计该热带低压将先在北部湾北部回旋少动并加强为热带风暴级。为及时组织辖区船舶做好防御工作,广西海事局已于8月20日9时启动防御台风二级应急响应。           8月21日上午,南海低压已进入北部湾,广西壮族自治区水利厅决定自21日9时启动洪水防御四级应急响应。           南海热带低压于昨天(20日)在海南文昌市龙楼镇沿海登陆。受其影响,今天(21日)进海南岛列车Z501、K511、Z8007、Z111次停运。           史上最强厄尔尼诺,或要来了!            对我国有何影响?            当前赤道中东太平洋海表温度持续升高,预计将于11月至12月前后达到峰值,形成一次超强厄尔尼诺事件,大概率成为有观测记录以来最强的一次。           鉴于厄尔尼诺仍在快速发展中,且其影响具有滞后性,事件发展的次年夏季,是要特别关注的时间段。           国家气候中心首席预报员顾薇介绍,明年夏天,厄尔尼诺的影响要比今夏更为显著。预计我国中东部地区降水总体偏多,尤其是长江中下游地区,降水偏多比较明显,暴雨洪涝风险较高,可能有较重汛情。另外,江淮、江南、华南等地的高温热浪也会更加明显。           暴雨来袭,家里进水怎么办?            第一时间断电:无论积水是否没过家电、插座,应立即切断家中总电闸、拔掉电器插头,避免触电风险。           封好排水口:观察家中排水口是否出现倒灌,可用湿棉被、装好水的塑料袋堵住,防止污水回流。

C |            准备漂浮材料:若居住在平房,发现积水迅速上涨,此时应立即携带漂浮物向高处转移,同时发出求救信号,等待救援。

D | 【编辑:何颖】。

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Published on:22:45:56


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